Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for TNL — the calendar windows where Travel + Leisure Co. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.

Patterns found
853
Upcoming this year
119
Bullish windows
574
Best win rate
100%

TNL seasonality at a glance

Over the last 10 years, TNL's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 9 – Nov 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.69% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TNL has historically declined between Jul 23 – Aug 2, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -6.49%).

In total, our analysis finds 853 recurring seasonal windows for Travel + Leisure Co.574 bullish and 279 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 7, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.

TNL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns

Holding period:10-day20-day30-day

Ordered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.

StatusSeasonal windowHoldAvg returnWin rateThis year
Completedended 5d agoJun 22 – Jul 2230d+5.89%80%+1.20%
Completedended 9d agoJul 8 – Jul 1810d+3.72%90%+0.78%
Active10d leftJul 27 – Aug 610d-5.09%90%
Active30d leftJul 27 – Aug 2630d-3.68%80%
UpcomingtomorrowJul 28 – Aug 710d-4.01%80%
UpcomingtomorrowJul 28 – Aug 1720d-3.31%80%
UpcomingtomorrowJul 28 – Aug 2730d-1.72%80%

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore TNL seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

TNL seasonality FAQ

What has historically been the best month to buy TNL stock?

Based on the last 10 years of price data, TNL's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 9 to Nov 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.69%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.

What is TNL's strongest seasonal pattern?

TNL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 9 – Nov 8 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.69%.

When has TNL historically performed worst?

TNL's weakest recurring window has been Jul 23 to Aug 2, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -6.49%.

How reliable are TNL's seasonal patterns?

Each TNL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TNL currently shows 853 recurring windows (574 bullish, 279 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is TNL stock seasonality?

Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Travel + Leisure Co.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TNL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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