Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TPL — the calendar windows where Texas Pacific Land Corporation has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TPL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TPL's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 15 – Apr 14: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.61% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TPL has historically declined between Jan 17 – Jan 27, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.13%).
In total, our analysis finds 855 recurring seasonal windows for Texas Pacific Land Corporation — 760 bullish and 95 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 7 – Aug 17, opens in 11 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TPL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 23d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 4 | 10d | +1.26% | 80% | +7.85% |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Aug 17 | 10d | +2.39% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Aug 7 – Sep 6 | 30d | +1.71% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 2 | 10d | +1.93% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 35d | Aug 31 – Sep 10 | 10d | -2.42% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 53d | Sep 18 – Sep 28 | 10d | +2.14% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TPL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TPL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TPL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TPL's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 15 to Apr 14, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +8.61%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TPL's strongest seasonal pattern?
TPL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 15 – Apr 14 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.61%.
When has TPL historically performed worst?
TPL's weakest recurring window has been Jan 17 to Jan 27, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.13%.
How reliable are TPL's seasonal patterns?
Each TPL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TPL currently shows 855 recurring windows (760 bullish, 95 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TPL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Texas Pacific Land Corporation's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TPL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.