Trex (TREX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TREX — the calendar windows where Trex has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TREX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TREX's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 6 – Aug 5: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +13.64% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TREX has historically declined between Sep 30 – Oct 20, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.35%).
In total, our analysis finds 817 recurring seasonal windows for Trex — 559 bullish and 258 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 30 – Oct 20, opens in 19 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TREX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 23d ago | Jul 20 – Aug 19 | 30d | +5.16% | 80% | +11.83% |
| Completedended 26d ago | Jul 17 – Aug 16 | 30d | +6.64% | 90% | +9.97% |
| Upcomingin 19d | Sep 30 – Oct 20 | 20d | -4.35% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Oct 5 – Oct 15 | 10d | -2.71% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Oct 6 – Oct 16 | 10d | -3.51% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Oct 6 – Oct 26 | 20d | -5.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Oct 7 – Oct 17 | 10d | -2.98% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TREX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TREX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TREX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TREX's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 6 to Aug 5, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +13.64%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TREX's strongest seasonal pattern?
TREX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 6 – Aug 5 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +13.64%.
When has TREX historically performed worst?
TREX's weakest recurring window has been Sep 30 to Oct 20, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.35%.
How reliable are TREX's seasonal patterns?
Each TREX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TREX currently shows 817 recurring windows (559 bullish, 258 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TREX stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Trex's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TREX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.