T. Rowe Price (TROW) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TROW — the calendar windows where T. Rowe Price has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TROW seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TROW's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 5 – Jul 25: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.36% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, TROW has historically declined between Sep 19 – Sep 29, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.92%).
In total, our analysis finds 610 recurring seasonal windows for T. Rowe Price — 371 bullish and 239 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 10 – Sep 9, opens in 14 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TROW's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | +2.40% | 80% | +1.14% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +5.59% | 80% | +8.44% |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Sep 9 | 30d | -1.72% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Sep 10 | 30d | -1.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 22 | 30d | -1.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 28d | Aug 24 – Sep 13 | 20d | -1.10% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 28d | Aug 24 – Sep 23 | 30d | -1.98% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TROW seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TROW seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TROW stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TROW's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 5 to Jul 25, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.36%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TROW's strongest seasonal pattern?
TROW's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 5 – Jul 25 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.36%.
When has TROW historically performed worst?
TROW's weakest recurring window has been Sep 19 to Sep 29, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.92%.
How reliable are TROW's seasonal patterns?
Each TROW pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TROW currently shows 610 recurring windows (371 bullish, 239 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TROW stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing T. Rowe Price's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TROW has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.