Travelers Companies (The) (TRV) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TRV — the calendar windows where Travelers Companies (The) has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TRV seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TRV's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 22 – Jan 1: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.18% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, TRV has historically declined between Jun 8 – Jun 28, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.64%).
In total, our analysis finds 505 recurring seasonal windows for Travelers Companies (The) — 425 bullish and 80 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 19 – Sep 29, opens in 8 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TRV's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 31d ago | Jul 12 – Aug 11 | 30d | +1.28% | 80% | +10.83% |
| Completedended 55d ago | Jun 28 – Jul 18 | 20d | +2.50% | 80% | +12.71% |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Sep 29 | 10d | -1.44% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Sep 21 – Oct 1 | 10d | -1.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 11d | Sep 22 – Oct 2 | 10d | -1.48% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 22d | Oct 3 – Oct 13 | 10d | +1.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 29d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +4.54% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TRV seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TRV seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TRV stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TRV's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 22 to Jan 1, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.18%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TRV's strongest seasonal pattern?
TRV's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 22 – Jan 1 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +1.18%.
When has TRV historically performed worst?
TRV's weakest recurring window has been Jun 8 to Jun 28, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.64%.
How reliable are TRV's seasonal patterns?
Each TRV pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TRV currently shows 505 recurring windows (425 bullish, 80 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TRV stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Travelers Companies (The)'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TRV has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.