Tractor Supply (TSCO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TSCO — the calendar windows where Tractor Supply has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TSCO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TSCO's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 31 – Nov 30: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.60% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TSCO has historically declined between Sep 11 – Sep 21, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.66%).
In total, our analysis finds 675 recurring seasonal windows for Tractor Supply — 516 bullish and 159 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 10 – Aug 20, opens in 14 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TSCO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 11d ago | Jul 6 – Jul 16 | 10d | +2.26% | 80% | +2.61% |
| Completedended 15d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 12 | 20d | +2.05% | 80% | +2.08% |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Aug 20 | 10d | +1.57% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 9 – Oct 9 | 30d | -1.56% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 46d | Sep 11 – Sep 21 | 10d | -2.66% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 46d | Sep 11 – Oct 11 | 30d | -2.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 50d | Sep 15 – Sep 25 | 10d | -1.36% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TSCO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TSCO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TSCO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TSCO's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 31 to Nov 30, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +6.60%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TSCO's strongest seasonal pattern?
TSCO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 31 – Nov 30 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.60%.
When has TSCO historically performed worst?
TSCO's weakest recurring window has been Sep 11 to Sep 21, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.66%.
How reliable are TSCO's seasonal patterns?
Each TSCO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TSCO currently shows 675 recurring windows (516 bullish, 159 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TSCO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Tractor Supply's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TSCO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.