Treasury Wine Estates (TWE.AX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TWE.AX — the calendar windows where Treasury Wine Estates has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TWE.AX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TWE.AX's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 12 – Jul 22: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.52% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, TWE.AX has historically declined between Dec 29 – Jan 8, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -2.74%).
In total, our analysis finds 612 recurring seasonal windows for Treasury Wine Estates — 306 bullish and 306 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 14 – Nov 24, opens in 19 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TWE.AX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 27d ago | Aug 30 – Sep 29 | 30d | -2.39% | 80% | -2.53% |
| Completedended 29d ago | Sep 7 – Sep 27 | 20d | -1.67% | 80% | -2.87% |
| Upcomingin 19d | Nov 14 – Nov 24 | 10d | +2.36% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 20d | Nov 15 – Nov 25 | 10d | +3.20% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 43d | Dec 8 – Jan 7 | 30d | -1.17% | 80% | -9.93% |
| Upcomingin 52d | Dec 17 – Jan 6 | 20d | -2.30% | 80% | +3.82% |
| Upcomingin 54d | Dec 19 – Jan 8 | 20d | -2.34% | 80% | +6.13% |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TWE.AX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TWE.AX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TWE.AX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TWE.AX's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 12 to Jul 22, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.52%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TWE.AX's strongest seasonal pattern?
TWE.AX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 12 – Jul 22 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.52%.
When has TWE.AX historically performed worst?
TWE.AX's weakest recurring window has been Dec 29 to Jan 8, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -2.74%.
How reliable are TWE.AX's seasonal patterns?
Each TWE.AX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TWE.AX currently shows 612 recurring windows (306 bullish, 306 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TWE.AX stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Treasury Wine Estates's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TWE.AX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.