TXNM Energy (TXNM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TXNM — the calendar windows where TXNM Energy has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TXNM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TXNM's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 11 – Oct 21: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.53% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, TXNM has historically declined between Apr 17 – May 17, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.45%).
In total, our analysis finds 561 recurring seasonal windows for TXNM Energy — 433 bullish and 128 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 19 – Oct 19, opens in 8 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TXNM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 23d ago | Jul 20 – Aug 19 | 30d | +3.32% | 80% | +0.39% |
| Completedended 24d ago | Jul 19 – Aug 18 | 30d | +3.46% | 80% | +0.88% |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Oct 19 | 30d | +1.96% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Sep 28 – Oct 18 | 20d | +1.11% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 18d | Sep 29 – Oct 19 | 20d | +1.92% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 21d | Oct 2 – Oct 22 | 20d | +2.20% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Oct 4 – Oct 24 | 20d | +2.84% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TXNM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TXNM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TXNM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TXNM's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 11 to Oct 21, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.53%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TXNM's strongest seasonal pattern?
TXNM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 11 – Oct 21 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.53%.
When has TXNM historically performed worst?
TXNM's weakest recurring window has been Apr 17 to May 17, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.45%.
How reliable are TXNM's seasonal patterns?
Each TXNM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TXNM currently shows 561 recurring windows (433 bullish, 128 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TXNM stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing TXNM Energy's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TXNM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.