Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for TXRH — the calendar windows where Texas Roadhouse has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
TXRH seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, TXRH's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 31 – Nov 30: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.69% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, TXRH has historically declined between Jun 8 – Jun 18, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.76%).
In total, our analysis finds 737 recurring seasonal windows for Texas Roadhouse — 579 bullish and 158 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 28, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
TXRH's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +3.16% | 80% | +6.04% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +3.62% | 80% | +6.49% |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | -1.76% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 28 | 30d | -1.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 9 – Sep 29 | 20d | -1.91% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 48d | Sep 13 – Sep 23 | 10d | -1.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 50d | Sep 15 – Sep 25 | 10d | -2.00% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore TXRH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
TXRH seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy TXRH stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, TXRH's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 31 to Nov 30, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.69%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is TXRH's strongest seasonal pattern?
TXRH's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 31 – Nov 30 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.69%.
When has TXRH historically performed worst?
TXRH's weakest recurring window has been Jun 8 to Jun 18, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.76%.
How reliable are TXRH's seasonal patterns?
Each TXRH pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. TXRH currently shows 737 recurring windows (579 bullish, 158 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is TXRH stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Texas Roadhouse's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where TXRH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.