United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for UAL — the calendar windows where United Airlines Holdings has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
UAL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, UAL's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 31 – Nov 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.35% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, UAL has historically declined between Jul 23 – Aug 2, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.70%).
In total, our analysis finds 849 recurring seasonal windows for United Airlines Holdings — 552 bullish and 297 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 19 – Sep 8, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
UAL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 45d ago | May 23 – Jun 12 | 20d | +7.37% | 80% | +15.57% |
| Completedended 47d ago | May 11 – Jun 10 | 30d | +9.25% | 80% | +6.38% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 8 | 20d | +4.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Aug 30 | 10d | +2.88% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 9 | 20d | +4.38% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 19 | 30d | +4.58% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | +4.41% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore UAL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
UAL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy UAL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, UAL's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 31 to Nov 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.35%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is UAL's strongest seasonal pattern?
UAL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 31 – Nov 10 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.35%.
When has UAL historically performed worst?
UAL's weakest recurring window has been Jul 23 to Aug 2, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.70%.
How reliable are UAL's seasonal patterns?
Each UAL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. UAL currently shows 849 recurring windows (552 bullish, 297 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is UAL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing United Airlines Holdings's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where UAL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.