United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for UFCS — the calendar windows where United Fire Group, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
UFCS seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, UFCS's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 15 – Nov 25: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.49% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, UFCS has historically declined between Oct 21 – Oct 31, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.57%).
In total, our analysis finds 628 recurring seasonal windows for United Fire Group, Inc. — 333 bullish and 295 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 20 – Sep 9, opens in 24 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
UFCS's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 27d ago | May 31 – Jun 30 | 30d | +1.56% | 80% | +18.84% |
| Completedended 48d ago | May 30 – Jun 9 | 10d | +3.16% | 80% | +4.97% |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 9 | 20d | -2.48% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | -3.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 37d | Sep 2 – Oct 2 | 30d | -2.62% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 47d | Sep 12 – Oct 12 | 30d | -1.06% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 48d | Sep 13 – Oct 13 | 30d | -1.32% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore UFCS seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
UFCS seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy UFCS stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, UFCS's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 15 to Nov 25, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.49%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is UFCS's strongest seasonal pattern?
UFCS's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 15 – Nov 25 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.49%.
When has UFCS historically performed worst?
UFCS's weakest recurring window has been Oct 21 to Oct 31, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.57%.
How reliable are UFCS's seasonal patterns?
Each UFCS pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. UFCS currently shows 628 recurring windows (333 bullish, 295 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is UFCS stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing United Fire Group, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where UFCS has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.