UMB Financial Corp. (UMBF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for UMBF — the calendar windows where UMB Financial Corp. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
UMBF seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, UMBF's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 2 – Dec 2: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.58% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, UMBF has historically declined between Mar 5 – Apr 4, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -9.46%).
In total, our analysis finds 714 recurring seasonal windows for UMB Financial Corp. — 533 bullish and 181 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 24 – Oct 24, opens in 13 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
UMBF's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 36d ago | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 10d | +1.45% | 80% | +2.95% |
| Completedended 42d ago | Jul 21 – Jul 31 | 10d | +1.80% | 80% | +1.34% |
| Upcomingin 13d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +2.94% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 16d | Sep 27 – Oct 7 | 10d | +2.66% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 18d | Sep 29 – Oct 9 | 10d | +2.33% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 19d | Sep 30 – Oct 10 | 10d | +2.33% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 20d | Oct 1 – Oct 11 | 10d | +2.60% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore UMBF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
UMBF seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy UMBF stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, UMBF's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 2 to Dec 2, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.58%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is UMBF's strongest seasonal pattern?
UMBF's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 2 – Dec 2 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.58%.
When has UMBF historically performed worst?
UMBF's weakest recurring window has been Mar 5 to Apr 4, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -9.46%.
How reliable are UMBF's seasonal patterns?
Each UMBF pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. UMBF currently shows 714 recurring windows (533 bullish, 181 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is UMBF stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing UMB Financial Corp.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where UMBF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.