U.S. Bancorp (USB) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for USB — the calendar windows where U.S. Bancorp has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.

Patterns found
669
Upcoming this year
98
Bullish windows
445
Best win rate
100%

USB seasonality at a glance

Over the last 10 years, USB's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 18 – Nov 7: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.36% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, USB has historically declined between Mar 5 – Apr 4, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -8.07%).

In total, our analysis finds 669 recurring seasonal windows for U.S. Bancorp445 bullish and 224 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 22 – Sep 1, opens in 26 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.

USB's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns

Holding period:10-day20-day30-day

Ordered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.

StatusSeasonal windowHoldAvg returnWin rateThis year
Completedended 3d agoJul 14 – Jul 2410d+3.33%80%+1.92%
Completedended 3d agoJul 4 – Jul 2420d+4.37%80%+2.59%
Upcomingin 26dAug 22 – Sep 110d+1.55%80%
Upcomingin 27dAug 23 – Sep 210d+1.56%80%
Upcomingin 68dOct 3 – Nov 230d+3.59%80%
Upcomingin 69dOct 4 – Oct 2420d+2.25%80%
Upcomingin 71dOct 6 – Oct 2620d+2.03%80%

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore USB seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

USB seasonality FAQ

What has historically been the best month to buy USB stock?

Based on the last 10 years of price data, USB's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 18 to Nov 7, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.36%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.

What is USB's strongest seasonal pattern?

USB's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 18 – Nov 7 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.36%.

When has USB historically performed worst?

USB's weakest recurring window has been Mar 5 to Apr 4, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -8.07%.

How reliable are USB's seasonal patterns?

Each USB pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. USB currently shows 669 recurring windows (445 bullish, 224 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.

What is USB stock seasonality?

Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing U.S. Bancorp's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where USB has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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