Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VAC — the calendar windows where Marriott Vacations Worldwide has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VAC seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VAC's strongest seasonal window has been Apr 7 – Apr 27: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.30% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, VAC has historically declined between Jul 26 – Aug 5, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -7.13%).
In total, our analysis finds 860 recurring seasonal windows for Marriott Vacations Worldwide — 545 bullish and 315 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 8, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VAC's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +6.01% | 80% | +1.35% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jun 21 – Jul 21 | 30d | +5.35% | 80% | +0.01% |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 8 | 10d | -6.20% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 9 | 10d | -5.91% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 10d | -4.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Aug 24 | 20d | +3.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 25 | 20d | +5.24% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VAC seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VAC seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VAC stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VAC's strongest seasonal window starts in April: Apr 7 to Apr 27, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.30%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VAC's strongest seasonal pattern?
VAC's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Apr 7 – Apr 27 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.30%.
When has VAC historically performed worst?
VAC's weakest recurring window has been Jul 26 to Aug 5, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -7.13%.
How reliable are VAC's seasonal patterns?
Each VAC pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VAC currently shows 860 recurring windows (545 bullish, 315 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VAC stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Marriott Vacations Worldwide's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VAC has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.