Vanguard Health Care Fund Investor Shares (VGHCX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VGHCX — the calendar windows where Vanguard Health Care Fund Investor Shares has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VGHCX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VGHCX's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 24 – Jul 24: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.66% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, VGHCX has historically declined between Mar 3 – Mar 23, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -2.61%).
In total, our analysis finds 400 recurring seasonal windows for Vanguard Health Care Fund Investor Shares — 326 bullish and 74 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 12 – Oct 12, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VGHCX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 26d ago | Aug 6 – Aug 16 | 10d | +1.17% | 80% | +1.24% |
| Completedended 26d ago | Jul 17 – Aug 16 | 30d | +1.33% | 80% | +2.40% |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Sep 12 – Oct 12 | 30d | -1.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Sep 17 – Sep 27 | 10d | -1.34% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Oct 25 – Nov 14 | 20d | +1.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 46d | Oct 27 – Nov 16 | 20d | +2.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 46d | Oct 27 – Nov 26 | 30d | +2.99% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VGHCX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VGHCX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VGHCX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VGHCX's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 24 to Jul 24, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.66%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VGHCX's strongest seasonal pattern?
VGHCX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 24 – Jul 24 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.66%.
When has VGHCX historically performed worst?
VGHCX's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Mar 23, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -2.61%.
How reliable are VGHCX's seasonal patterns?
Each VGHCX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VGHCX currently shows 400 recurring windows (326 bullish, 74 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VGHCX stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Health Care Fund Investor Shares's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VGHCX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.