Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral (VGSLX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VGSLX — the calendar windows where Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VGSLX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VGSLX's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 22 – Apr 1: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.39% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, VGSLX has historically declined between Sep 16 – Oct 6, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.49%).
In total, our analysis finds 522 recurring seasonal windows for Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral — 351 bullish and 171 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 18 – Sep 7, opens in 22 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VGSLX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 22 | 20d | +1.85% | 80% | +0.97% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jul 1 – Jul 21 | 20d | +1.55% | 80% | +2.86% |
| Upcomingin 22d | Aug 18 – Sep 7 | 20d | +1.48% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 8 | 20d | +1.15% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 36d | Sep 1 – Sep 21 | 20d | -2.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 39d | Sep 4 – Sep 24 | 20d | -2.67% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Sep 5 – Sep 25 | 20d | -2.42% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VGSLX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VGSLX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VGSLX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VGSLX's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 22 to Apr 1, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.39%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VGSLX's strongest seasonal pattern?
VGSLX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 22 – Apr 1 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.39%.
When has VGSLX historically performed worst?
VGSLX's weakest recurring window has been Sep 16 to Oct 6, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.49%.
How reliable are VGSLX's seasonal patterns?
Each VGSLX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VGSLX currently shows 522 recurring windows (351 bullish, 171 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VGSLX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VGSLX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.