Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VGT — the calendar windows where Vanguard Information Technology ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VGT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VGT's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 22 – Jul 22: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.67% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, VGT has historically declined between Mar 1 – Mar 11, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.78%).
In total, our analysis finds 662 recurring seasonal windows for Vanguard Information Technology ETF — 596 bullish and 66 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Aug 22, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VGT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 22 | 20d | +3.41% | 90% | +0.85% |
| Completedended 11d ago | Jun 26 – Jul 16 | 20d | +3.58% | 90% | +0.33% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +1.41% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | +1.72% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +1.96% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +3.54% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +1.05% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VGT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VGT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VGT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VGT's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 22 to Jul 22, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.67%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VGT's strongest seasonal pattern?
VGT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 22 – Jul 22 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.67%.
When has VGT historically performed worst?
VGT's weakest recurring window has been Mar 1 to Mar 11, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.78%.
How reliable are VGT's seasonal patterns?
Each VGT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VGT currently shows 662 recurring windows (596 bullish, 66 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VGT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Information Technology ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VGT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.