Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VIG — the calendar windows where Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VIG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VIG's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 30 – Nov 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.11% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, VIG has historically declined between Feb 16 – Mar 8, falling in 7 of 10 years (average -1.66%).
In total, our analysis finds 455 recurring seasonal windows for Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF — 400 bullish and 55 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 9 – Nov 8, opens in 28 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VIG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 20d ago | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +1.56% | 80% | +1.98% |
| Completedended 21d ago | Aug 1 – Aug 21 | 20d | +1.30% | 80% | +1.98% |
| Upcomingin 28d | Oct 9 – Nov 8 | 30d | +2.31% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 29d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +2.61% | 100% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Oct 21 | 10d | +1.15% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +3.62% | 100% | — |
| Upcomingin 31d | Oct 12 – Nov 11 | 30d | +3.52% | 100% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VIG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VIG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VIG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VIG's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 30 to Nov 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.11%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VIG's strongest seasonal pattern?
VIG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 30 – Nov 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.11%.
When has VIG historically performed worst?
VIG's weakest recurring window has been Feb 16 to Mar 8, declining in 7 of 10 years with an average return of -1.66%.
How reliable are VIG's seasonal patterns?
Each VIG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VIG currently shows 455 recurring windows (400 bullish, 55 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VIG stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VIG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.