Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VITL — the calendar windows where Vital Farms, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 6 years of price history. Vital Farms, Inc. has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 6 available years.
VITL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 6 years, VITL's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 16 – Jan 15: it ended higher in 5 of 5 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.12% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, VITL has historically declined between Oct 13 – Oct 23, falling in 6 of 6 years (average -6.37%).
In total, our analysis finds 846 recurring seasonal windows for Vital Farms, Inc. — 485 bullish and 361 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VITL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | -3.56% | 80% | -0.08% |
| Completedended 31d ago | Jun 16 – Jun 26 | 10d | +5.50% | 80% | +4.58% |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +10.18% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | +8.68% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 10 | 10d | +6.90% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 11 | 10d | +9.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +11.25% | 83% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VITL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VITL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VITL stock?
Based on the last 6 years of price data, VITL's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 16 to Jan 15, which ended higher in 5 of 5 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.12%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VITL's strongest seasonal pattern?
VITL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 16 – Jan 15 window (30-day hold): up in 5 of the last 5 years with an average move of +7.12%.
When has VITL historically performed worst?
VITL's weakest recurring window has been Oct 13 to Oct 23, declining in 6 of 6 years with an average return of -6.37%.
How reliable are VITL's seasonal patterns?
Each VITL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 6 years it repeated in the same direction. VITL currently shows 846 recurring windows (485 bullish, 361 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VITL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vital Farms, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VITL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.