Valero Energy (VLO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VLO — the calendar windows where Valero Energy has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VLO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VLO's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 17 – Jul 27: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.26% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, VLO has historically declined between Jun 28 – Jul 8, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -3.24%).
In total, our analysis finds 764 recurring seasonal windows for Valero Energy — 558 bullish and 206 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 8 – Aug 28, opens in 12 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VLO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 51d ago | May 7 – Jun 6 | 30d | +4.38% | 80% | +8.75% |
| Completedended 66d ago | May 2 – May 22 | 20d | +3.42% | 80% | +0.51% |
| Upcomingin 12d | Aug 8 – Aug 28 | 20d | +2.67% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 42d | Sep 7 – Sep 17 | 10d | +1.23% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 43d | Sep 8 – Sep 18 | 10d | +1.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 9 – Sep 19 | 10d | +1.11% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 64d | Sep 29 – Oct 9 | 10d | +1.22% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VLO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VLO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VLO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VLO's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 17 to Jul 27, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.26%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VLO's strongest seasonal pattern?
VLO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 17 – Jul 27 window (10-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.26%.
When has VLO historically performed worst?
VLO's weakest recurring window has been Jun 28 to Jul 8, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -3.24%.
How reliable are VLO's seasonal patterns?
Each VLO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VLO currently shows 764 recurring windows (558 bullish, 206 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VLO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Valero Energy's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VLO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.