Valley Bank (VLY) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VLY — the calendar windows where Valley Bank has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VLY seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VLY's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 27 – Nov 26: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.18% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, VLY has historically declined between Mar 17 – Apr 6, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -5.22%).
In total, our analysis finds 725 recurring seasonal windows for Valley Bank — 476 bullish and 249 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 20 – Aug 30, opens in 24 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VLY's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +6.84% | 80% | +0.49% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +6.07% | 80% | +1.97% |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Aug 30 | 10d | +1.62% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 59d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +2.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 60d | Sep 25 – Oct 25 | 30d | +1.75% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 61d | Sep 26 – Oct 26 | 30d | +2.52% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 68d | Oct 3 – Nov 2 | 30d | +2.61% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VLY seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VLY seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VLY stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VLY's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 27 to Nov 26, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.18%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VLY's strongest seasonal pattern?
VLY's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 27 – Nov 26 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.18%.
When has VLY historically performed worst?
VLY's weakest recurring window has been Mar 17 to Apr 6, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -5.22%.
How reliable are VLY's seasonal patterns?
Each VLY pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VLY currently shows 725 recurring windows (476 bullish, 249 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VLY stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Valley Bank's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VLY has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.