Vistra Corp. (VST) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VST — the calendar windows where Vistra Corp. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VST seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VST's strongest seasonal window has been Jan 27 – Feb 16: it ended higher in 8 of 9 years (89% win rate) with an average return of +6.61% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, VST has historically declined between Mar 7 – Mar 17, falling in 7 of 9 years (average -3.65%).
In total, our analysis finds 805 recurring seasonal windows for Vistra Corp. — 699 bullish and 106 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VST's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 45d ago | May 13 – Jun 12 | 30d | +5.93% | 89% | +3.79% |
| Completedended 60d ago | May 18 – May 28 | 10d | +3.33% | 89% | +17.21% |
| Active10d left | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 10d | +2.31% | 89% | — |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +4.88% | 89% | — |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | +5.79% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +3.77% | 89% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +2.72% | 89% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VST seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VST seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VST stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VST's strongest seasonal window starts in January: Jan 27 to Feb 16, which ended higher in 8 of 9 years (89% win rate) with an average return of +6.61%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VST's strongest seasonal pattern?
VST's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jan 27 – Feb 16 window (20-day hold): up in 8 of the last 9 years with an average move of +6.61%.
When has VST historically performed worst?
VST's weakest recurring window has been Mar 7 to Mar 17, declining in 7 of 9 years with an average return of -3.65%.
How reliable are VST's seasonal patterns?
Each VST pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VST currently shows 805 recurring windows (699 bullish, 106 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VST stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vistra Corp.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VST has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.