Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VT — the calendar windows where Vanguard Total World Stock ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VT's strongest seasonal window has been May 9 – Jun 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.62% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, VT has historically declined between Feb 16 – Mar 8, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -2.52%).
In total, our analysis finds 476 recurring seasonal windows for Vanguard Total World Stock ETF — 401 bullish and 75 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 5 – Sep 4, opens in 9 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +2.81% | 100% | +0.03% |
| Completedended 6d ago | Jul 1 – Jul 21 | 20d | +1.98% | 80% | +0.01% |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Sep 4 | 30d | +1.43% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Aug 29 | 20d | +1.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Aug 30 | 20d | +1.10% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 74d | Oct 9 – Nov 8 | 30d | +2.03% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 76d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +3.07% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VT's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 9 to Jun 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.62%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VT's strongest seasonal pattern?
VT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 9 – Jun 8 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.62%.
When has VT historically performed worst?
VT's weakest recurring window has been Feb 16 to Mar 8, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -2.52%.
How reliable are VT's seasonal patterns?
Each VT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VT currently shows 476 recurring windows (401 bullish, 75 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Total World Stock ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.