Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VUG — the calendar windows where Vanguard Growth ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VUG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VUG's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 14 – Jul 14: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.41% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, VUG has historically declined between Mar 1 – Mar 11, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.93%).
In total, our analysis finds 602 recurring seasonal windows for Vanguard Growth ETF — 525 bullish and 77 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 1 – Aug 21, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VUG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +3.63% | 90% | +0.05% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 22 | 20d | +2.75% | 90% | +0.21% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 21 | 20d | +1.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +1.62% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +2.81% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | +2.35% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Sep 3 | 30d | +1.34% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VUG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VUG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VUG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VUG's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 14 to Jul 14, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.41%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VUG's strongest seasonal pattern?
VUG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 14 – Jul 14 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.41%.
When has VUG historically performed worst?
VUG's weakest recurring window has been Mar 1 to Mar 11, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.93%.
How reliable are VUG's seasonal patterns?
Each VUG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VUG currently shows 602 recurring windows (525 bullish, 77 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VUG stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Growth ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VUG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.