Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (VXUS) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VXUS — the calendar windows where Vanguard Total International Stock ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
VXUS seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VXUS's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 19 – Dec 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.25% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, VXUS has historically declined between Jun 7 – Jun 17, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.77%).
In total, our analysis finds 427 recurring seasonal windows for Vanguard Total International Stock ETF — 348 bullish and 79 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 20 – Sep 19, opens in 24 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VXUS's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 33d ago | Jun 4 – Jun 24 | 20d | -1.30% | 80% | -1.77% |
| Completedended 45d ago | May 23 – Jun 12 | 20d | +1.71% | 80% | +1.44% |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 19 | 30d | +1.25% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 91d | Oct 26 – Nov 5 | 10d | +1.63% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 93d | Oct 28 – Nov 7 | 10d | +2.20% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 96d | Oct 31 – Nov 10 | 10d | +2.50% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 107d | Nov 11 – Dec 11 | 30d | +1.18% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VXUS seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VXUS seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy VXUS stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VXUS's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 19 to Dec 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.25%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VXUS's strongest seasonal pattern?
VXUS's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 19 – Dec 29 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +1.25%.
When has VXUS historically performed worst?
VXUS's weakest recurring window has been Jun 7 to Jun 17, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.77%.
How reliable are VXUS's seasonal patterns?
Each VXUS pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VXUS currently shows 427 recurring windows (348 bullish, 79 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is VXUS stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Total International Stock ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VXUS has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.