Walmart (WMT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for WMT — the calendar windows where Walmart has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
WMT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, WMT's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 9 – Nov 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.39% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, WMT has historically declined between Aug 16 – Aug 26, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.05%).
In total, our analysis finds 675 recurring seasonal windows for Walmart — 566 bullish and 109 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
WMT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 6d ago | Jul 1 – Jul 21 | 20d | +3.03% | 90% | +1.44% |
| Completedended 8d ago | Jul 9 – Jul 19 | 10d | +1.07% | 80% | +1.81% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +4.22% | 100% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +3.67% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | +3.74% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 19 | 20d | +3.53% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 20 | 20d | +3.56% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore WMT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
WMT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy WMT stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, WMT's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 9 to Nov 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.39%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is WMT's strongest seasonal pattern?
WMT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 9 – Nov 8 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.39%.
When has WMT historically performed worst?
WMT's weakest recurring window has been Aug 16 to Aug 26, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.05%.
How reliable are WMT's seasonal patterns?
Each WMT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. WMT currently shows 675 recurring windows (566 bullish, 109 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is WMT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Walmart's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where WMT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.