Xcel Energy (XEL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XEL — the calendar windows where Xcel Energy has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XEL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XEL's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.37% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, XEL has historically declined between Jun 3 – Jun 13, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.98%).
In total, our analysis finds 472 recurring seasonal windows for Xcel Energy — 386 bullish and 86 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XEL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +3.24% | 90% | +0.55% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +3.48% | 90% | +1.75% |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +1.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 19 | 20d | +1.22% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 30d | Aug 26 – Sep 5 | 10d | +1.09% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 32d | Aug 28 – Sep 7 | 10d | +1.22% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 66d | Oct 1 – Oct 31 | 30d | +1.90% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XEL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XEL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XEL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XEL's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.37%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XEL's strongest seasonal pattern?
XEL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.37%.
When has XEL historically performed worst?
XEL's weakest recurring window has been Jun 3 to Jun 13, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.98%.
How reliable are XEL's seasonal patterns?
Each XEL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XEL currently shows 472 recurring windows (386 bullish, 86 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XEL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Xcel Energy's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XEL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.