Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLI — the calendar windows where Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XLI seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XLI's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 27 – Jul 27: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.61% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, XLI has historically declined between Jun 7 – Jun 17, falling in 7 of 10 years (average -2.09%).
In total, our analysis finds 505 recurring seasonal windows for Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund — 424 bullish and 81 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 5 – Sep 4, opens in 9 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XLI's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +3.61% | 100% | +0.96% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | +1.65% | 90% | +0.87% |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Sep 4 | 30d | +1.56% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 73d | Oct 8 – Nov 7 | 30d | +2.54% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 74d | Oct 9 – Nov 8 | 30d | +2.80% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 78d | Oct 13 – Nov 12 | 30d | +3.96% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 82d | Oct 17 – Nov 16 | 30d | +3.62% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLI seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XLI seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XLI stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XLI's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 27 to Jul 27, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.61%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XLI's strongest seasonal pattern?
XLI's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 27 – Jul 27 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.61%.
When has XLI historically performed worst?
XLI's weakest recurring window has been Jun 7 to Jun 17, declining in 7 of 10 years with an average return of -2.09%.
How reliable are XLI's seasonal patterns?
Each XLI pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XLI currently shows 505 recurring windows (424 bullish, 81 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XLI stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLI has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.