Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLK — the calendar windows where Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XLK seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XLK's strongest seasonal window has been May 9 – Jun 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.97% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, XLK has historically declined between Aug 30 – Sep 9, falling in 7 of 10 years (average -1.55%).
In total, our analysis finds 653 recurring seasonal windows for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund — 596 bullish and 57 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 17 – Oct 17, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XLK's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 6d ago | Aug 6 – Sep 5 | 30d | +1.26% | 80% | +1.05% |
| Completedended 7d ago | Aug 5 – Sep 4 | 30d | +1.85% | 90% | +0.74% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Sep 17 – Oct 17 | 30d | +1.30% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 12d | Sep 23 – Oct 23 | 30d | +1.31% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Sep 24 – Oct 24 | 30d | +1.54% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Sep 25 – Oct 25 | 30d | +1.76% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Sep 26 – Oct 26 | 30d | +1.07% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLK seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XLK seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XLK stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XLK's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 9 to Jun 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.97%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XLK's strongest seasonal pattern?
XLK's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 9 – Jun 8 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.97%.
When has XLK historically performed worst?
XLK's weakest recurring window has been Aug 30 to Sep 9, declining in 7 of 10 years with an average return of -1.55%.
How reliable are XLK's seasonal patterns?
Each XLK pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XLK currently shows 653 recurring windows (596 bullish, 57 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XLK stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLK has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.