Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLP — the calendar windows where Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XLP seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XLP's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.08% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, XLP has historically declined between Sep 7 – Oct 7, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -2.94%).
In total, our analysis finds 419 recurring seasonal windows for Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund — 317 bullish and 102 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 12 – Sep 22, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XLP's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 1d ago | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | -1.06% | 80% | -3.37% |
| Completedended 20d ago | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +1.21% | 90% | +1.11% |
| Active30d left | Sep 11 – Oct 11 | 30d | -2.38% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Sep 12 – Sep 22 | 10d | -1.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Sep 12 – Oct 2 | 20d | -2.56% | 100% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Sep 12 – Oct 12 | 30d | -2.50% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Sep 13 – Sep 23 | 10d | -1.18% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLP seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XLP seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XLP stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XLP's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.08%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XLP's strongest seasonal pattern?
XLP's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.08%.
When has XLP historically performed worst?
XLP's weakest recurring window has been Sep 7 to Oct 7, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -2.94%.
How reliable are XLP's seasonal patterns?
Each XLP pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XLP currently shows 419 recurring windows (317 bullish, 102 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XLP stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLP has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.