Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLRE — the calendar windows where Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XLRE seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XLRE's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 26 – Jul 26: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.63% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, XLRE has historically declined between Sep 7 – Oct 7, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.67%).
In total, our analysis finds 521 recurring seasonal windows for Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund — 366 bullish and 155 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 18 – Sep 7, opens in 22 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XLRE's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +2.89% | 80% | +0.99% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +2.87% | 80% | +0.69% |
| Upcomingin 22d | Aug 18 – Sep 7 | 20d | +1.42% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 8 | 20d | +1.08% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 34d | Aug 30 – Sep 29 | 30d | -3.06% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 35d | Aug 31 – Sep 20 | 20d | -1.52% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 36d | Sep 1 – Sep 21 | 20d | -2.34% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLRE seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XLRE seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XLRE stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XLRE's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 26 to Jul 26, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.63%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XLRE's strongest seasonal pattern?
XLRE's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 26 – Jul 26 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.63%.
When has XLRE historically performed worst?
XLRE's weakest recurring window has been Sep 7 to Oct 7, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.67%.
How reliable are XLRE's seasonal patterns?
Each XLRE pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XLRE currently shows 521 recurring windows (366 bullish, 155 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XLRE stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLRE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.