Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLU — the calendar windows where Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XLU seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XLU's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 29 – Jul 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.80% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, XLU has historically declined between Dec 15 – Dec 25, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.49%).
In total, our analysis finds 415 recurring seasonal windows for Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund — 357 bullish and 58 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 1 – Oct 31, opens in 66 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XLU's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +2.61% | 80% | +1.43% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +2.92% | 90% | +2.49% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +1.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 66d | Oct 1 – Oct 31 | 30d | +1.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 67d | Oct 2 – Nov 1 | 30d | +1.82% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 68d | Oct 3 – Oct 23 | 20d | +1.62% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 69d | Oct 4 – Oct 24 | 20d | +1.95% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLU seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XLU seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XLU stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XLU's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 29 to Jul 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.80%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XLU's strongest seasonal pattern?
XLU's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 29 – Jul 29 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.80%.
When has XLU historically performed worst?
XLU's weakest recurring window has been Dec 15 to Dec 25, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.49%.
How reliable are XLU's seasonal patterns?
Each XLU pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XLU currently shows 415 recurring windows (357 bullish, 58 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XLU stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLU has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.