Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLV — the calendar windows where Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XLV seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XLV's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 11 – Jul 11: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.34% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, XLV has historically declined between Sep 19 – Sep 29, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.21%).
In total, our analysis finds 383 recurring seasonal windows for Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund — 338 bullish and 45 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 1 – Aug 21, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XLV's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 14 – Jul 24 | 10d | +1.31% | 90% | +1.99% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +3.04% | 90% | +5.28% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 21 | 20d | +1.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 15 | 10d | +1.18% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Aug 16 | 10d | +1.39% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 32d | Aug 28 – Sep 27 | 30d | -1.06% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 33d | Aug 29 – Sep 28 | 30d | -1.16% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLV seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XLV seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XLV stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XLV's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 11 to Jul 11, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.34%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XLV's strongest seasonal pattern?
XLV's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 11 – Jul 11 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.34%.
When has XLV historically performed worst?
XLV's weakest recurring window has been Sep 19 to Sep 29, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.21%.
How reliable are XLV's seasonal patterns?
Each XLV pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XLV currently shows 383 recurring windows (338 bullish, 45 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XLV stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLV has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.