ExxonMobil (XOM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XOM — the calendar windows where ExxonMobil has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
XOM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, XOM's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 23 – Apr 12: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.60% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, XOM has historically declined between Jul 3 – Jul 23, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.23%).
In total, our analysis finds 616 recurring seasonal windows for ExxonMobil — 453 bullish and 163 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 11 – Nov 10, opens in 30 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
XOM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 37d ago | Jul 26 – Aug 5 | 10d | -2.08% | 80% | -3.38% |
| Completedended 38d ago | Jul 25 – Aug 4 | 10d | -1.84% | 80% | -1.90% |
| Upcomingin 30d | Oct 11 – Nov 10 | 30d | +3.46% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Oct 21 – Nov 10 | 20d | +2.71% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 42d | Oct 23 – Nov 12 | 20d | +1.44% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 43d | Oct 24 – Nov 13 | 20d | +2.07% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 47d | Oct 28 – Nov 7 | 10d | +2.42% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XOM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
XOM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy XOM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, XOM's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 23 to Apr 12, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.60%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is XOM's strongest seasonal pattern?
XOM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 23 – Apr 12 window (20-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.60%.
When has XOM historically performed worst?
XOM's weakest recurring window has been Jul 3 to Jul 23, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.23%.
How reliable are XOM's seasonal patterns?
Each XOM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. XOM currently shows 616 recurring windows (453 bullish, 163 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is XOM stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing ExxonMobil's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XOM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.