Best Stocks to Buy for Samvat 2083? What the Data Shows

NSE and BSE hold their one-hour Muhurat trading session on Sunday, November 8, 2026, from 2:20 pm to 3:30 pm IST. It marks the start of Samvat 2083, the new year in the Hindu calendar, and many investors in India like to buy shares on this day. So which stocks have done best in a Samvat year? We tested it with 15 Samvat years of adjusted prices, from Samvat 2068 (which began at Diwali 2011) to Samvat 2082 (which ended this week), using the 50 stocks in the Nifty 50 today.

Each Samvat year is measured from the last close before one Muhurat session to the last close before the next. That is roughly what you would get by buying just before Muhurat and holding for one Samvat year.

How the Nifty 50 has done in each Samvat year

The Nifty 50 rose in 12 of 15 Samvat years, with an average gain of +11.61% and a median of +10.01%. The best was Samvat 2077, up 40.17% in the recovery after the Covid crash. The year that just ended, Samvat 2082, was the weakest: the Nifty fell from 25,843 to 25,030.

Is a Samvat year special? Not on this evidence. Across every 12-month period over the same years, starting on any trading day, the Nifty averaged +12.81% and rose 83% of the time. The Samvat years did about the same, slightly worse. The first 30 days after Muhurat averaged +0.79% and rose in 9 of 15 years, against +0.92% and 61% for any 30-day period. So there has been no reliable Diwali rally in the Nifty.

Nifty 50 stocks that rose in the most Samvat years

ICICI Bank and Nestle India rose in 14 of the 15 years. Apollo Hospitals also beat the Nifty in 12 of 15, as did JSW Steel and HCLTech. But look at the last column: HDFC Bank and Hindustan Unilever had their worst Samvat year in the one that just ended, each down about 20%. A long winning record didn’t protect them.

These results also flatter today’s Nifty 50 stocks. Companies join the index because they grew, so looking back at the current members leaves out the ones that fell away. The average current member rose in about 11 of 15 Samvat years, so 13 or 14 is less unusual than it looks.

The first month after Muhurat: IT stocks stand out

The full year mostly reflects how a company performed. The first month is closer to a true seasonal question: what usually happens straight after Diwali? This measures from the close before Muhurat to the close 30 days after it.

Tech Mahindra has the strongest post-Diwali record: up in 12 of 15 years, and never down more than 3.09%. Infosys beat the Nifty in 12 of 15. Treat this with care, though. A typical Nifty 50 stock rose in the first month only about half the time, so with 50 stocks, one or two would reach 12 of 15 by luck alone.

Seasonal windows starting in the next few weeks

The SeasonalityX Index Scanner looks for the strongest fixed calendar windows in each stock. These are the most consistent bullish Nifty 50 windows starting between November 9 and November 30, from 15 years of history (2011 to 2025):

Hindalco and Apollo Hospitals have the most consistent windows, and Bharti Airtel’s has the smallest worst-year loss, −2.83%. IT shows up again: Infosys and Tech Mahindra appear in both tests, and TCS and HCLTech also have late-November to December windows that rose in 11 of 15 years. These windows were found by searching many start dates, which makes the best ones look stronger than they will in future.

So which stocks are best for Samvat 2083?

• For the whole year, the Samvat start date hasn’t mattered. Stocks with long winning records, like ICICI Bank and Nestle India, most likely owe that to how their businesses grew, and that can change, as HDFC Bank and Hindustan Unilever showed in Samvat 2082.
• For the weeks after Diwali, IT stocks, led by Tech Mahindra and Infosys, have the most consistent record. It’s a pattern worth watching, not a sure thing.
• For the market as a whole, the Nifty 50 rose in 12 of 15 Samvat years, about the same as any 12-month period.

See also what seasonality is, with examples and the best seasonal stocks for November.

Past seasonal performance does not guarantee future results. Win rates and average returns are historical base rates, not predictions. This is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.