Marvell Technology (MRVL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MRVL — the calendar windows where Marvell Technology has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
Data: 2016–2025 daily closes, split- and dividend-adjusted · updated Nov 2, 2026 · methodology
MRVL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, MRVL's strongest seasonal window has been May 9 – Jun 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +14.05% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, MRVL has historically declined between Jul 31 – Aug 10, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -4.18%).
In total, our analysis finds 791 recurring seasonal windows for Marvell Technology — 615 bullish and 176 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 3 – Nov 13, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
MRVL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 27d ago | Sep 26 – Oct 6 | 10d | +4.05% | 80% | +9.57% |
| Completedended 28d ago | Sep 25 – Oct 5 | 10d | +2.57% | 80% | +3.55% |
| Active10d left | Nov 2 – Nov 12 | 10d | +5.72% | 80% | — |
| Active20d left | Nov 2 – Nov 22 | 20d | +7.57% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Nov 2 – Dec 2 | 30d | +8.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Nov 3 – Nov 13 | 10d | +5.88% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Nov 3 – Nov 23 | 20d | +8.33% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
MRVL monthly seasonality
Over the last 10 years, Marvell Technology's best calendar month has been November (average +11.09%, higher in 8 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -2.32%, higher in 5 of 10 years). MRVL has closed higher more often than not in 6 of the 12 months.
| Month | Avg return | Higher in | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +4.26% | 8 of 10 yrs | +16.69% | -18.33% |
| February | -1.51% | 5 of 10 yrs | +7.80% | -18.64% |
| March | -2.32% | 5 of 10 yrs | +8.71% | -32.94% |
| April | -1.18% | 2 of 10 yrs | +26.17% | -18.93% |
| May | +10.01% | 9 of 10 yrs | +48.15% | -10.87% |
| June | +3.07% | 6 of 10 yrs | +28.60% | -26.42% |
| July | +7.25% | 7 of 10 yrs | +28.10% | -5.81% |
| August | -1.80% | 5 of 10 yrs | +15.10% | -21.78% |
| September | +1.88% | 4 of 10 yrs | +33.72% | -8.35% |
| October | -0.41% | 4 of 10 yrs | +13.68% | -14.71% |
| NovemberNow | +11.09% | 8 of 10 yrs | +23.41% | -4.64% |
| December | +2.32% | 6 of 10 yrs | +22.93% | -20.37% |
Monthly return = close on the last day of the month vs. the last day of the month before, from split- and dividend-adjusted prices. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MRVL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
MRVL seasonality FAQ
What is MRVL's best month of the year?
Over the last 10 years, MRVL's strongest calendar month has been November, with an average return of +11.09% and a gain in 8 of 10 years. Its weakest has been March, averaging -2.32%.
How does MRVL usually perform in November?
MRVL has closed November higher in 8 of the last 10 years, with an average return of +11.09%. Its best November returned +23.41% and its worst -4.64%.
What has historically been the best month to buy MRVL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, MRVL's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 9 to Jun 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +14.05%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is MRVL's strongest seasonal pattern?
MRVL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 9 – Jun 8 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +14.05%.
When has MRVL historically performed worst?
MRVL's weakest recurring window has been Jul 31 to Aug 10, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -4.18%.
How reliable are MRVL's seasonal patterns?
Each MRVL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. MRVL currently shows 791 recurring windows (615 bullish, 176 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
New to seasonality? Read what stock seasonality is and how these numbers are calculated. Seasonality describes past behaviour, not a forecast.