Stock spotlightAMZN seasonality 4 min read

AMZN Seasonality: Amazon Stock's Best and Worst Months

November 3, 2026

You might expect Amazon to shine around the holidays. AMZN seasonality says otherwise: December has been its weakest month over the last 15 years, while early summer has been remarkably consistent. These figures use adjusted prices from 2011 to 2025.

AMZN seasonality chart: the average year

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Average year for AMZN over the last 15 years: it ends the year +31.4%, with its highest point around December 1 (+33.0%) and its lowest around January 1 (0.0%). Each past year is rebased to 0% on January 1 and the years are averaged day by day. Rising stretches are when AMZN has tended to gain.

Amazon stock seasonality by month

MonthAMZN avg returnRose in (15y)
January+5.31%10 of 15
February−0.91%7 of 15
March+2.33%11 of 15
April+4.35%10 of 15
May+2.06%10 of 15
June+3.96%12 of 15
July+6.34%11 of 15
August+0.88%7 of 15
September−1.29%5 of 15
October+1.40%8 of 15
November+3.43%11 of 15
December−2.11%6 of 15

The window that hasn't lost since 2011: June 14 to July 14

From June 14 to July 14, AMZN rose in 15 of 15 years, averaging +7.82%, and its worst year was still a gain of +1.84%. It also held in 2026, at +3.75%. July is Amazon’s best calendar month as well, at +6.34%, though 2022’s +27.1% lifts that average; the median July is +4.57%.

Weak spots: September and December

AMZN rose in only 5 of 15 Septembers and 6 of 15 Decembers, averaging −1.29% and −2.11%. Strong holiday sales are widely expected, so they may already be in the price by December, though the data shows only the pattern and not the reason.

The most reliable AMZN seasonal windows

AMZN windowAvg returnRose in (15y)Worst year
Jun 14 – Jul 14+7.82%15 of 15+1.84%
May 22 – Jun 11+3.07%14 of 15−6.10%
Aug 22 – Sep 11+3.74%13 of 15−5.13%
Apr 5 – May 5+4.71%13 of 15−29.04%
Oct 30 – Nov 29+3.88%12 of 15−13.31%

On the weak side, September 20 to October 10 fell in 12 of 15 years (average −2.15%), and November 30 to December 10 fell in 11 of 15 (average −1.41%).

Reality check: these windows are the best of many tested. The April 5 to May 5 window shows the range of outcomes well: it rose in 13 of 15 years, yet its worst year lost 29%. In 2026, the May 22 window fell 9.3%.

See the live chart and upcoming windows on the AMZN seasonality page.

Check any Amazon date range against every year.

Open AMZN in the Chart Explorer

Past seasonal performance does not guarantee future results. Win rates and average returns are historical base rates, not predictions. This is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.

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