British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) (GBPUSD=X) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for GBPUSD=X — the calendar windows where British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
GBPUSD=X seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, GBPUSD=X's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 18 – Dec 8: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +1.15% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, GBPUSD=X has historically declined between Sep 18 – Oct 8, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -1.98%).
In total, our analysis finds 120 recurring seasonal windows for British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) — 51 bullish and 69 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 8 – Oct 8, opens in 39 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
GBPUSD=X's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 33d ago | Jun 8 – Jun 28 | 20d | -1.71% | 80% | -1.11% |
| Completedended 177d ago | Jan 5 – Feb 4 | 30d | +1.17% | 80% | +1.93% |
| Upcomingin 39d | Sep 8 – Oct 8 | 30d | -1.54% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 40d | Sep 9 – Oct 9 | 30d | -1.41% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 41d | Sep 10 – Oct 10 | 30d | -1.50% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 13 – Oct 3 | 20d | -1.38% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 46d | Sep 15 – Oct 5 | 20d | -1.04% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore GBPUSD=X seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
GBPUSD=X seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy GBPUSD=X currency pair?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, GBPUSD=X's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 18 to Dec 8, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +1.15%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is GBPUSD=X's strongest seasonal pattern?
GBPUSD=X's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 18 – Dec 8 window (20-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +1.15%.
When has GBPUSD=X historically performed worst?
GBPUSD=X's weakest recurring window has been Sep 18 to Oct 8, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -1.98%.
How reliable are GBPUSD=X's seasonal patterns?
Each GBPUSD=X pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. GBPUSD=X currently shows 120 recurring windows (51 bullish, 69 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is GBPUSD=X currency pair seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a currency pair to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD)'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where GBPUSD=X has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.