US Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) (USDCAD=X) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for USDCAD=X — the calendar windows where US Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
USDCAD=X seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, USDCAD=X's strongest seasonal window has been Sep 7 – Oct 7: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +1.32% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, USDCAD=X has historically declined between May 9 – Jun 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.32%).
In total, our analysis finds 46 recurring seasonal windows for US Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) — 24 bullish and 22 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 7 – Oct 7, opens in 38 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
USDCAD=X's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 107d ago | Mar 26 – Apr 15 | 20d | -1.24% | 80% | -0.35% |
| Upcomingin 38d | Sep 7 – Oct 7 | 30d | +1.32% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 39d | Sep 8 – Oct 8 | 30d | +1.24% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 13 – Oct 3 | 20d | +1.14% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 13 – Oct 13 | 30d | +1.28% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore USDCAD=X seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
USDCAD=X seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy USDCAD=X currency pair?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, USDCAD=X's strongest seasonal window starts in September: Sep 7 to Oct 7, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +1.32%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is USDCAD=X's strongest seasonal pattern?
USDCAD=X's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Sep 7 – Oct 7 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +1.32%.
When has USDCAD=X historically performed worst?
USDCAD=X's weakest recurring window has been May 9 to Jun 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.32%.
How reliable are USDCAD=X's seasonal patterns?
Each USDCAD=X pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. USDCAD=X currently shows 46 recurring windows (24 bullish, 22 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is USDCAD=X currency pair seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a currency pair to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing US Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD)'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where USDCAD=X has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.